Not all housewives but some are.
Doppelganger, quoting the WSJ article you submitted:
"When people leave the labor force it could be due to discouragement of the long-term unemployed or by choice over retirement or child care. The labor force has dropped dramatically over the course of recession and recovery, and concerns have been raised it was due to discouraged workers."
So here the author gave three reasons: discouragement, retirement and childcare but focused on discouragement.
Again I think there is a secular trend toward retirement that was identified ten years ago and it is definitely part of the number.
I think that people are now realizing the value of childcare. We are moving away from the Hillary Clinton view of "It Takes a Village." We are seeing the rise of home schooling like Rick Santorum did. Google home schooling finds a USA Today article claiming a rise of 400k students between 2003 and 2007. I think it is more popular now not less. Those mothers are probably dropping out of the labor force but engaged in gainful activity.
Then there is the cyclical issue of discouragement. How do you split the 9 million? If the ex-plumber that I cited is raising children is he discouraged or is he engaged in an activity worth $60k when he could only make $40k.
I think there are many free riders cashing checks on the lengthened unemployment benefits. According to the BLS unemployed mothers of children under the age of 18 has increased by a million since 2008. Obama and the Democrats should be blamed for that one. Anyone could have seen that coming. BTW by percent the levels are the same as in the 1980s.
[url]http://www.bls.gov/cps/wlf-databook-2011.pdf[/url]
Until someone does the hard analysis we are in the world of "Could". That is why I reacted in the first place.
Lack of good high-paying jobs are the problem not the size of the labor force.
[QUOTE=Doppelganger; 422144]BBM, the WSJ article centered on the folks dropping out of the work force due to being long term unemployed and discouraged. These folks are still unemployed and still want a job, just can not find one. The article does mention child care and retirement as having a MINOR affect on the drop with the central factor being discouragement.
Please don't tell me you think the majority of those 9 million plus folks retired or became Mr. Mom! Even the BLS is not trying to say they retired.[/QUOTE]Yes, I will stick to my guns. I really do not believe, assuming this an argument against Obama's policy, it is the policy of the Republican Party to increase the size of the labor force. If elected, Republicans will be overjoyed if the labor force shrinks while jobs increase thereby lowering unemployment. Republicans are the party of the homemaker. Both Romney and Santorum's wives were stay at home mothers. Laura Bush left teaching to raise children.
The baby boomers will be retiring in the next 10 years me included. I am holding out because I think austerity is the only solution.
Stricter immigration enforcement has reduced the size of the labor force. Anecdotal evidence is that Mexican immigrants are returning to Mexico which is also reducing the labor force. It makes sense with the lack of construction jobs. From a sample of one, we offered a job to a student engineer that turned us down and went to work in Taiwan instead. Personally I just do not know any discouraged unemployed and I live in high unemployment county. I have a lead on a minimum wage graveyard shift job that can lead to $34k a year in 3 years. I have given the connection to 5 or 6 people and not one has followed through. I do not think that people are willing work at anything which takes them out of the ranks of the discouraged. Alabama has trouble finding crop workers now that the immigration laws are being enforced.
There are many reasons to vote Republican in November but the reason that Republicans will increase the labor force is BS. Here's a link to another article that is one-sided in it is assessment and follows your view. Notice these are all blogs and not in the reporting part of the WSJ or Weekly Standard.
[url]http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/one-thing-clear-not-enough-new-jobs_643170.html[/url]
The article also implies that Republicans are happy that America is struggling which is more BS. I don't think Romney thinks that at all.
Enough politics, I am in BA next week and need to figure out places I want to visit. Skittenbrewer, can I buy you a meal?
Not reading this thred but thought a link to fact checker. Org might be kinda nice
Super packs will destroy the electorial process: the super pacts misrewpresent the truth and both side are not trustworthy.
The Mitt: the wallstreet crowd parades not half truths but maybe 25% truths:
[url]http://factcheck.org/2012/05/stimulus-money-for-jobs-overseas/[/url]
In the Miami market the ads were on shows ranging from the Sunday morning news shows to the afternoon flintstones-you can see I have far ranging tastes.
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The budget debates-both sides are telling lots of half truths, but Obama likely is more full of it than the Mitt.
[url]http://factcheck.org/2012/04/fall-preview-obama-vs-romney-and-ryan/[/url]
Factchecker makes an interesting read after all the baloney spread by the spin masters on both sides. Actually read the factchecker article completely is you are going to discuss the buget debate.
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The teaparty folks are even more full of it. Let's bring back the good old days-1919.
[url]http://factcheck.org/2012/03/tea-partys-targets/[/url]
The moderate voices in both parties should be silenced so only the most extreme irrational loud mouths with minimal thought attached to reality prevail!