Whistling Past the Cemetary!
[QUOTE=SnakeOilSales; 424756]Obama leads Romney in Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania:
[url]http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/obama-leads-romney-three-battleground-states-poll-shows-103942709.html[/url]
I guess those working class voters in these states really DO care that Romney utilized (now) illegal tax avoidance schemes, offshore bank accounts, and shorted his own national currency.[/QUOTE]You are so gullable dude! Are you aware of the hidden constructs that many of these polls are based on. The only polls that currently show Obamantion ahead are those that model the results after the voter turnout of 2008, in which registered democrats outnumbered registered GOP voters by about 6-7% based on what reference you use. For a simple minded clod like yourself I will be happy to elaborate. These polls asssume a similar voter turnout this year, thus romney starts about 5-6% points down once they normailze the polls assuming high liberal turnout in 2012. Do you think this will happen in 2012? If you do I have some swamp land in florida you need to look at. LOL. The more interesting data to review is the change in the polls per state over the past 3 months. You will find that YOU cannot find a single poll that shows Obomantions numbers higher today than they were several months ago. Thus he is losing ground in all battleground states as each month passes. Thus ends today's lession. Lets just call it "politics for dummies", LIKE YOU! IALOTFLMAO. Keep it coming, your entertainment value is outstanding! Happy Mongering All. Toymann
Been thinking about it all my life
[QUOTE=Daddy Rulz;424761]Do you guys even think about what opposing people write before responding or do you just discount it and blaze away?[/QUOTE]I've been a student of this subject for a long, long time. I do comprehend what is being preferred and respect everyone's right to state their opinions. That said, I will dive in head first to rebut propaganda, lies and misinformation.
Neither a Conservative nor Libertarian
I prefer Progressive Republican like my childhood heros Senator Kuchel and Supreme Court Justice Warren. I actually do believe that government has a role in the economy like the great water projects that helped in the development of LA.
Not necessarily for small government either
[QUOTE=Matt Psyche;424742]You are libertarian- for small government for both social and economic policies. The opposite would be populists- large gov interventions both in social and economic policies. The party / ideology of the president is unlikely to be related to the economic performance. Budget and fiscal bills must be passed by both the chambers of Congress and signed by the president. Most of the time, the government has been divided government. So nobody can significantly change the content of the budget from the previous year's budget. Monetary policy is run by the Fed, an independent agency insulated from the chief executive and Congress. Plus, the Federal govt spending only accounts for 25% of GDP. How could they influence the whole economy? We just need competitive labor force and innovative industries.[/QUOTE]I just think that we need to pay for the government we have. Obamacare front-loaded all the benefits and back-loaded the taxes. When Romney wins he is going to have a very difficult time pushing back on those benefits. Bush led us into war with Iraq while keeping the expense of the war out of the budget. I think we all would have accepted a tax increase to take down Hussein.
I read Johnson's view on Obamacare and don't necessarily agree. Whose freedom are we protecting anyway? Some of the shooting victims in Aurora had no health insurance. I am sure in the end the taxpayers will cover their costs. Isn't it an infringement on my freedom since I already have good health insurance that I have to cover for these victims? In some ways everybody is already insured and not everyone is paying which does not seem fair. I think that is what Chief Justice Roberts meant that the government has the right to tax for the common good. Are we really ready to watch people bleed to death if they do not have medical coverage? In a libertarian society you need to be willing to let people fail. I do not think I am willing to go to that extreme so you need to make compromises in a libertarian society also.
100 days to BA and I promise I will quit writing this nonsense although the election is over by the time I get there.
Copy and paste from the liberal handbook
SOS / MOPD:
Would you mind adding a little commentary or other color (other than Red) to your posts? I mean, the best propaganda is the kind that isn't obviously propaganda. Also, rote transcription from talking points gets long in the tooth, after a while.
[QUOTE=SnakeOilSales;424779]The poll was conducted by Quinnipiac University / NYTimes / CBS news, institutions that correctly predicted Obama's victory in the 2008 election.[/quote]What is that they say about past performance not being indicative of future performance? Better yet, what is it that they say about a broken clock?
For the most part, these polls are constructed to deliver a result as opposed to actually measure a particular phenomenon. As Toyman pointed out, most all US political polls way over sample democrats. It is usually 8%.16, but I seen it as high as in the 30% range. Just because a poll indicated the eventual winner doesn't mean that it was accurate. The odds are 50/50 of picking the winner. There isn't a casino on earth that will give you those odds.
Why bother looking at the polls, anyway? Just do some independent thinking (sorry, I forgot to whom I was speaking). Let's look at some key constituencies (that democrats insist on treating as monolithic blocks) and Obama's popularity with each:
Hispanics: Obama, less popular with Hispanic voters.
Obama has given them backdoor amnesty and the dream act (via executive order) which has removed virtually all of our abilities to enforce the border. These things may have made him with illegal aliens and criminals. However, US citizens of LatAm origins are more concerned with their own socioeconomic situation and (predominantly Catholic) aren't too fond of the gay-marriage thing.
Blacks: Obama less popular with black voters.
Black unemployment is out of control. Things have gotten much worse for the black community, during Obama's reign of terror. Gay marriage is very unpopular with black voters.
White working class men: Obama is less popular with white working class men.
Nearly 17% of the people who want to work in this country can't find work. When it comes down to feeding your family and putting a roof over your family's heads these voters will most definitely go towards the candidate whom they feel will be better for the economy (not even Obama thinks he is that guy).
White women: Obama is less popular with white women.
White women, like black women like their men better when they are bringing home a paycheck.
Jewish voters: Obama is less popular with Jewish voters.
Just look at how rich, Jewish donors have stopped giving to Obama. They are starting to get the picture. It is difficult for even partisan Jews to reconcile Obama's support for groups bent on the destruction of Israel (since long before he was elected to office) and his claim that he isn't antisemitic (he is).
Gay, lesbian and transgender: Obama is MORE popular with GLBT voters.
They love the fact that he is denying Catholics and other religious groups their first Amendment rights and of course they like the gay marriage thing, which does nothing for them other than make them feel good. Representing approximately 1% of the US population, it is hard to figure how this block, which went overwhelmingly for Obama in 2008, can alone increase Obama's chances of success in 2012.
[quote=]You clearly are lacking in your understanding of politics and voting patterns as you cannot see outside your own socioeconomic level ($250k+/year I'm guessing). OF COURSE highly monied individuals such as yourself would want Romney as your president; he will cut your taxes and look out for your interests above those of the masses.[/quote]
What a load of patronizing, leftist crap. Obama has raised taxes on every single American - including those who pay no taxes at all (by deflating the value of the dollars in their pockets). Romney has never stated that he would impose regressive or progressive changes to the tax code. Nice try, though.
The rich elite in America, especially those who didn't earn it (hmmm?), have always been on the side of the democrats.
[quote=] Unfortunately for you, the working class voting population in Ohio and Florida (the only states that matter in this election) see Romney for what he really is, which is an aloof, awkward, out of touch Wall Street take no prisoners raider whose only interest is helping the rich get richer at any cost. Working class voters in Ohio and Florida simply cannot relate to Romney at all; they don't have off shore bank accounts, (now) illegal tax avoidance schemes, or Bermuda shell corporations.[/QUOTE]
You are out of your mind if you think that working class people are better prepared to survive the economic destruction that Obama has wrought upon us, than are the rich. That is preposterous. The working man and woman in the USA are getting killed by Obama and they know it. They will punish him at the voting booth.
Disagree somewhat with Wild Walleye
[QUOTE=Wild Walleye; 424788]SOS / MOPD:
What a load of patronizing, leftist crap. Obama has raised taxes on every single American. Including those who pay no taxes at all (by deflating the value of the dollars in their pockets). Romney has never stated that he would impose regressive or progressive changes to the tax code. Nice try, though.
The rich elite in America, especially those who didn't earn it (hmmm?) , have always been on the side of the democrats.[/QUOTE]Hubbard came out today with Romney's plan.
[url]http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390443687504577562842656362660.html?mod=WSJ_Opinion_LEADTop[/url]
His tax will be more regressive according to the article. There is a case too be made that taxes are too progressive right now. The reason Romney will not win in California is that this tax plan will raise taxes on taxpayers who have high deductions such as mortgage interest, property taxes and state income taxes. 25% times $30000 is greater than 30% times $0.
Inflation has been low under Obama. The dollar fell against some currencies like the real, reminimbi and baht but I think that Romney has spoken that the reminimbi is was artificially low against the dollar and would take steps to reduce the discrepancy. Dollar is up against the euro. Gas and food are up but services like house cleaners and gardeners are getting paid the same as what I paid 5 years ago. Mortgage interest is down for everybody that can refinance.
Two words to you el Jefe and they ain't Happy Birthday!
The words are. El Alamo! Seeing as your selective outrage and editorial standards are pure horse shit! Why have we never seen this [Report Deleted by Admin][/blue]
[blue] This 'report' was deleted by Admin because EL ALAMO is not permitted to post rumors, leaks, gossip or any other unsubstantiated political wet dreams.
I like to remain relatively hands off of the political thread, but EL ALAMO had demonstrated a propensity towards repeatedly posting innuendo after innuendo, supposition after supposition, and thus I've decided that I'm not going to let him continue to lob these unsubstantiated hand grenades into the discussion.
Like Joe Friday said: "Just the facts, ma'am"
Thanks,
Jackson[/blue][/QUOTE]