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This will one will most likely be very close indeed. When you factor in liberal based media plus liberal based polls, I'm guessing that Obama needs almost a double digit lead to pull it off. As voting day approachs, the voter base always starts leaning towards the more conservative candidate. Obama does very poorly in maybe the most important last minute voting metric. Keeping America safe. I'll be in BA during the election and look forward to a close one. Happy Mongering All.
Toymann
[QUOTE=Toymann]This will one will most likely be very close indeed. When you factor in liberal based media plus liberal based polls, I'm guessing that Obama needs almost a double digit lead to pull it off. As voting day approachs, the voter base always starts leaning towards the more conservative candidate. Obama does very poorly in maybe the most important last minute voting metric. Keeping America safe. I'll be in BA during the election and look forward to a close one. Happy Mongering All. Toymann[/QUOTE]Polls are important only in discerning trends, and only then when methodology is consistent over time. There is no good social science to suggest that averaging all polls together gives a correct picture.
Many polls now adjust their "party weighting" on a monthly basis, and in this cycle the practice has generally been to ascribe larger and larger shares of the electorate to the Democrats. This would not be a problem to discern trends IF the party weighting by pollsters was not shifting on a regular basis. The problem with this is that we know for certain that party affiliation does not change dramatically in a month's time.
What I can say to you is this: Obama's polling numbers in this campaign season almost always were inflated against his actual results. Whether this is because of pollster bias or because of respondents not telling the truth is not clear.
For example, some of Obama's last polling results before the New Hampshire primary showed him up by as much as 13% the day before the election. He actually lost by -3%.
[url]http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSN0433304720080108[/url]
(This is Zogby, whose poll has of late been all over the place, going from Obama +2 to +13 and now back to +5).
The same thing happened before Pennsylvania. According to one pollster, he was leading by +3% the day before the primary. He lost by -9%.
[url]http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_042108.pdf[/url]
This race is not over. Because of this, I'm patiently awaiting Obama's "October surprise" against McCain. I still think it will be some allegation that McCain takes bribes. Or some other of the usual bullshit.
[QUOTE=Hunt99]This race is not over.[/QUOTE]Keep hope alive my friend, keep hope alive.
Regards,
BM.
[QUOTE=Pablo Neruda] And meanwhile,
We men,
Touch the water,
Struggling and hoping,
We touch the sea.
Hoping.
And the waves tell the firm coast;
"Everything will be fulfilled".[/QUOTE]
[QUOTE=Hunt99]This race is not over. Because of this, I'm patiently awaiting Obama's "October surprise" against McCain. I still think it will be some allegation that McCain takes bribes. Or some other of the usual bullshit.[/QUOTE]Something like "I'm not interested in some washed up radical from the 60's." sic (Isn't sic what you write when you have the content correct but perhaps the wording is wrong?
And then having your ads and mouthpiece do nothing but repeat that as a fucking mantra for a month. What a lack of balls that McAngryOldGuy has. Face to face in a debate he dismisses what is essentially the only plank in his platform.
Liberal bias in the media my ass, the only news program that even mentioned that was on the freaking comedy channel!
This election may be decided by events on the day of the election or the day before the election.
In 1980 the race between Carter and Reagan was considered to be a dead heat. But on the morning of the election the news was filled with something the Iranians were doing with the American hostages (street demonstration or something like that) It was the only newsworthy topic that day.
Reagan won by a landslide because the voting public realized, seeing the carnage on the news reports, that Carter was incapable of handling foreign affairs.
In 2004 there was the last minute Bin Ladin (sp? Tape.
This year, a meltdown in the stock markets on the day before the election or the day of the election, could seal this for Obama. If not, this might be a closer election than some think.
[QUOTE=El Alamo]This election may be decided by events on the day of the election or the day before the election.
In 1980 the race between Carter and Reagan was considered to be a dead heat. But on the morning of the election the news was filled with something the Iranians were doing with the American hostages (street demonstration or something like that) It was the only newsworthy topic that day.
Reagan won by a landslide because the voting public realized, seeing the carnage on the news reports, that Carter was incapable of handling foreign affairs.
In 2004 there was the last minute Bin Ladin (sp? Tape.
This year, a meltdown in the stock markets on the day before the election or the day of the election, could seal this for Obama. If not, this might be a closer election than many think.[/QUOTE]One possible scenario would be the Israelis bombing Iran's nuclear facilities in the next few days.
[QUOTE=Jackson]One possible scenario would be the Israelis bombing Iran's nuclear facilities in the next few days.[/QUOTE]Like there isn't enough to fuggen worry about.
[url]http://www.borowitzreport.com/[/url]
[QUOTE=Daddy Rulz]Isn't sic what you write when you have the content correct but perhaps the wording is wrong?[/QUOTE]I think you have the definition right. It is used when you are exactly quoting someone else, but are leaving any spelling or grammatical errors or unusual usage that they used in their quote.
Specifically, that the quote is word-for-word from the original source, and the wording used in your quote is indeed not due to an error you made when quoting it but is exactly as the original material.
Should be used like [sic] after the quote.
[QUOTE=Daddy Rulz][url]http://www.borowitzreport.com/[/url][/QUOTE]Dady Rulz.
I am glad you see the humorous side of this election.
Nobody knows who is best for the United States. Right now it is just a big crap shoot.
This fucking Obama is such a baby. His boy Biden blows an interview and it is the fault of the interviewer. What type of bullshit is this?
Every candidate has tough questions. Not everybody is thrown softballs.
Is this what we can expect with an Obama presidency. Buy his bullshit hook, line, sinker and rowboat or be cut off.
P. S. I will take Palin over that idiot Obama and his sidekick Biden anyday of the week - for President or Vice President
[url]http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/26/palin-annoyed-with-cbs-interviewer/[/url]
[url]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L8__aXxXPVc[/url]
What's even worse is this retarded biatch is mad at Couric for asking her poignant questions regarding the economy, foreign relations and the $700 Billion bail out, that she couldn't even answer coherently.
But then again I guess the bail out really is about Health care, right?
Anyone who would choose this retard over Obama is an idiot.
Regards,
BM.
We so rarely dissagree brother but today is one of them! IMHO, I'd go with YOU over this total PRETENDER Obama for president everyday of the week. I am actually quite impressed with Sara's performance over the past several months considering the totally low-ball approach the WILD-ASS liberal media has confronted her with (COURIC IS A TOTAL C**T and I wouldn't fuck her with YOUR Dick) Furthermore, in some of the key midwest states she continues to add sexappeal to the Republican ticket. For me, without question, the highlight of the Democratic campaign so far was that worthless attorney Biden telling the world that Hillary would have been a better VP choice than he. So rarely does a politician actually speak what they are thinking and this was one of those times. HILLARIOUS! It's gonna be a close one, but I have confidence the Democrats will find away to lose this one yet. They have been stepping up their efforts quite nicely lately. Happy Mongering All.
Toymann
Palin is a MILF, I'll give you that, and I wouldn't fuck her with your dick (I'd use my own;)) but she's a retard. You can think what you want about Obama. But he isn't a retard, that's for sure.
I think your hope is a good thing, we all have unattainable dreams. That is what makes American grand.
Regards,
BM
[QUOTE=Toymann]We so rarely dissagree brother but today is one of them! IMHO, I'd go with YOU over this total PRETENDER Obama for president everyday of the week. I am actually quite impressed with Sara's performance over the past several months considering the totally low-ball approach the WILD-ASS liberal media has confronted her with (COURIC IS A TOTAL C**T and I wouldn't fuck her with YOUR Dick) Furthermore, in some of the key midwest states she continues to add sexappeal to the Republican ticket. For me, without question, the highlight of the Democratic campaign so far was that worthless attorney Biden telling the world that Hillary would have been a better VP choice than he. So rarely does a politician actually speak what they are thinking and this was one of those times. HILLARIOUS! It's gonna be a close one, but I have confidence the democrats will find away to lose this one yet. They have been stepping up their efforts quite nicely lately. Happy Mongering All. Toymann[/QUOTE]
Yes my brother she certainly is a very FINE MILF! And, I also, would use my own equipment if given the opportinity. See ya in a week.
Happy Mongering,
Toymann
Just a reminder to those of you who think that the USA is an evil country.
Thanks,
Jackson
[url]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a-DbFttBKKk[/url]
Regards,
BM[QUOTE=Jackson]Just a reminder to those of you who think that the USA is an evil country.
Thanks,
Jackson[/QUOTE]
But a decent people with bad leadership.
Yes, the radical muslim jihadists think that all of western culture is evil, but they are sick mofo's.
I'd fuck her, I've always said I'd fuck her but a heartbeat from the Presidency? Will her science adviser agree that Dinos were only extinct 4000 years ago?
[url]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nokTjEdaUGg&NR=1[/url]
[QUOTE=Stormy] Might this money have been better spent on a course in political science at a good university so that she could be informed as to the duties of the Vice President? [/QUOTE]Does Bill Ayers teach that class as well as “How to Make a Pipe Bomb?”
Say It Ain't So, Joe!
[url]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=djpqD2WrsQE&feature=related[/url]
Are the guys that keep picking on Palin misogynist? Or would gynophobia be a better description? Or perhaps just simple sexist? :confused:
[QUOTE=Punter 127]Does Bill Ayers teach that class as well as "How to Make a Pipe Bomb?"[/QUOTE]Punter- I saw Ayers at Maipu 359 the other day. He was laying pipe. I think you two would get along.
I also saw McCain at Cocodrilo. He was knocking the bottom out of some whoare's asshole while snorting blow offa a big black dildo. He said to tell you hello! Well, I think it was blow.
When are you and that worthless piece of shit Coach Schlembechler gonna be back in town?
Kisses
[QUOTE=Punter 127]Are the guys that keep picking on Obama feminist? Or would Androphobia be a better description? Or perhaps just simple sexist?:confused:[/QUOTE]Word.
That shit made zero sense.
Regards,
BM.
[url]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VZh0Y0x75XA[/url]
[url]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hqav9dhxobQ[/url]
[QUOTE=Doggboy]Punter-
When are you and that worthless piece of shit Coach Schlembechler gonna be back in town?
Kisses[/QUOTE]Hey Dogg,
I can ’t speak for Coach but the place has become a little rich for my blood, so I was waiting for the crash. But after reading Panos post I may have to consider. :rolleyes:
[QUOTE=Sidney]Will you include me in your will!
------
Old Sport Sid.
--------[/QUOTE]Now Syd, old sport, why would I put into my Will a guy that repeatedly can't seem to separate fact from fiction and has joined the "white is black & up is down" crowd. Sorry old sport you're just going to have to sweat it out in that remodeled atomic bomb shelter while the Democrats rule the air you used to breathe.
Halloween's coming up, why not dress up as Obama and scare all your Republican and "independent voter" pals.
I'm looking into a Wailing Wall setup at the foot of the Obelisk on 9 de Julio, so you guys have someplace locally to publicly start the long road to recovery.
[QUOTE=El Alamo]This fucking Obama is such a baby. His boy Biden blows an interview and it is the fault of the interviewer. What type of bullshit is this?
Every candidate has tough questions. Not everybody is thrown softballs.
Is this what we can expect with an Obama presidency. Buy his bullshit hook, line, sinker and rowboat or be cut off.
P. S. I will take Palin over that idiot Obama and his sidekick Biden anyday of the week - for President or Vice President[/QUOTE]I hope you get your wish Alamo, in some god foresaken country other than the US. Turn your hearing aid up and listen to what Palin has to say, unless you want to live in a fascist, backward country maybe you'll change your mind.
I'll bet you didn't actually listen to the interview with Biden. He didn't blow the interview but handled very well all the questions based on ridiculous Republican slime points. It was great to see him handle the topics that so far no one else has had the nerve to actually raise in public. I thought that was great, they should be brought into the light of day. The fact that they're not giving Republicans a platform and further aid in bringing them up in the Toss Up state of Florida a week before the election is a sign of intelligence not cowardice. So instead of banging your pot about the weakness of Obama / Biden why don't you go back to your ilk's other meme of lamenting the "liberal media" for not bringing these questions up? Maybe you'll figure out there's so little credibility in any of the topics that they wouldn't waste their time.
[url]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=loBe0WXtts8[/url]
[QUOTE=Punter 127]Say It Ain't So, Joe!
[url]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=djpqD2WrsQE&feature=related[/url]
Are the guys that keep picking on Palin misogynist? Or would gynophobia be a better description? Or perhaps just simple sexist?:confused:[/QUOTE]"I'm not interested in some washed up radical from the 60's."
Punter please a heartbeat from the Presidency? Actuarialy speaking McAngryOldGuy has a 1-3 chance of not living through his first term. She's hot, she buys clothes well, uses her office to settle personal vendettas really well and I want to spooge on her face but President? Come on brother it's not that she's a broad, Barbara Jordon woulda made a great President, but not Jenny McCarthy.
Dady Rulz.
I can understand your concern about Palin becoming President.
But your concern about Palin becoming President pales compared to our concern about Obama becoming President
P.S. Not everyone would agree with me but Palin is my horse even if she never wins a race. I think she is terrific.
"P. S. Not everyone would agree with me but Palin is my horse even if she never wins a race. I think she is terrific"
Which one of the daughters are you talking about?
[QUOTE=Punter 127]J.
I can't imagine it either but you saw my post and it's all over the internet, Google it.
Having control and having a super majority is two different things, and I will go on record and say super majorities are not good for the country, regardless of the party. I can only remember one time in my lifetime that a party had a super majority and that was the Carter years. You may remember other times, but you're a lot older then me. Lol.
Pisses me off beyond words that they would even think about it, and I don't like them even talking about fucking with my 401k.
I don't care what party or who's doing the talking.
However it does give us insight as to how they think, and we should be paying attention to what they're saying!
Sorry to hear about your bad luck with our girl, but she has always been a bit of an elusive prey, but definitely one worthy of pursuit.;)[/QUOTE]Amigo,
Personally, I do not believe what is out there on the internet because there are so many sites that are nothing but shill political sites from both parties. I only believe things on the internet if I get it from 3 different sources and at least one is from a NON-internet site-that has been successful so far from keeping me from becoming enraged due to garbage lies on the internet.
Raise my current taxes to address the debt, medicine, etc. No problem. Fuck with my future assets and I will vote them out of office.
Sorry to hear you are avoiding BA, at this time. Sure hope you visit again soon. I hope to be there in January and April so if you hit the lottery, perhaps I will see you then.
Personally, I am hoping for an economic correction there before I buy a place there.
Take care, amigo. Keep enjoying that asian pussy as I know you are not remaining celibate the whole time.
Suerte,
Stowe.
P. S. While most of my positions are liberal, there are conservative positions I support.
[QUOTE=El Alamo]But your concern about Palin becoming President pales compared to our concern about Obama becoming President[/QUOTE]El Alamo,
I agree with you.
It's amazing how the Democrats have turned the "experience factor" completely around.
Thanks,
Jackson
A taste of your own medicine perhaps?
Regards,
BM.[QUOTE=Jackson]It's amazing how the Democrats have turned the "experience factor" completely around.[/QUOTE]
Mongers,
Can any of you actually take Sarah Palin even remotely seriously? We are talking about a women who took the ten year five transfer plan from various Buttwipe State Universities and a women who has experience only as the governor of a state about as corrupt as several Argentine provinces (see her own actions, along with those of her mentor Ted Stevens, just today CONVICTED of 7 FELONY counts) We are talking about a women here who is married to a high school dropout who races snowmobiles for a living; this man pulls her strings with regularity. She is also a right wing religious fanactic of the worst ilk. How could anyone elect a ticket that would put her one step away from controlling the most powerful and influencial ship on state on the planet today?
People can say what they want about McCain, I think he would do a mediocre or sub-mediocre job as president (business as usual, no changes, continuing the decline of the American empire, continuation of the widening gap betwen rich and poor) but he has been around long enough to show he is not completely incompetant, just extremely mediocre. The big problem with him is that he is 72 years old and could very well die in office, which would bring a completely incompetent person to the highest office in the land. Palin lacks the temperment, cranial capacity, and experience to be Principal of a NYC High School let alone President of the United States.
Suerte,
Rock Harders
[QUOTE=Rock Harders]Palin lacks the temperment, cranial capacity, and experience to be Principal of a NYC High School let alone President of the United States. [/QUOTE] I bed to differ. She [I]was[/I] mayor of Wasilla. Population at the time 5500. That could in fact qualify as a large high school. Plus she was governor of Alaska for about a year and a half. That has to count for something. I mean she [I]was[/I] fighting off Putin's rearing head at the time of course. At this point I am quite convinced the Repubs would vote for Daffy Duck and defend him to the death as the best choice to run our country as long as they win.
Regards,
BM.
I agree with what ex Pres Ronald Reagan had to say.
Less you forget.
"Are you better off now, than you were four years ago?"
NO Fucking Way!
Check your Stock Funds.
You are bull shitting about What Sarah's Pussy smells Like now.
You will never know!
Who cares?
Do you agree with what Reagan had to say?
Yes, the last four/eight years has not made you a lot of money and that the
World hates us!
Wake Up!
And I am surprised what Daddy Ruiz had to say, A working man like me had to say, stuck at home in U.S. because our leaders have Fucked us.
Reagan the M.F. said it in the 80s, not the 60s.
"Are you better off now, than you were four years ago?"
No Fucking Way!!!
[url]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=loBe0WXtts8[/url]
Edit /
[QUOTE=Jackson]El Alamo,
I agree with you.
It's amazing how the Democrats have turned the "experience factor" completely around.
Thanks,
Jackson[/QUOTE]
[QUOTE=WorldTravel69]"Are you better off now, than you were four years ago?"
NO Fucking Way!
Check your Stock Funds.
Do you agree with what Reagan had to say?
Yes, the last four / eight years has not made you a lot of money and that the.
World hates us![/QUOTE]I was a shitload better off before Clinton, Dodd and Frank forced a corrupt system of lending to people who had no ability or INTENTION of paying back the money.
It played into a greedy system where everyone participated. So lay the blame where you want. Blame it on the war, blame it on Palin's wardrobe, blame it on a Fucking Billy Goat curse if it makes everyone feel better. The pricks on both side of the aisle delivered this.
Actually I was much better off up until April 2007. Because of the then developing credit crisis, that is when the banks I deal with started realizing they were up a creek. They started pulling back established credit lines, which I use to operate and grow my businesses and sustain PAYROLL. I have never pulled over $250k out of my business and choose to reinvest and grow my pie through growth in equity.
As growth slows, my personal equity goes down and cash stalls. I am not deadbeat. I pay my all of my bills, I watch my credit rating and I try to save for my kid's college. If I have a good year, I go fishing and hunting and spend money at my favorite places in Buenos Aires. Kind of like my own "Trickle In" economic policy.
Currently to sustain my business I am selling property and assets at reduced prices. The result is my net worth goes down and I have to cut back on expenditures. It's not Dust Bowl Oklahoma, but it's much tougher.
The result is six direct employees do not have full employment, many indirect employees don't have work and my Darling Rosario in Bs Aires has to go without my affection on my two to three trips a year. (As well as a shitload of Cash)
I didn't want this to turn into a dissertation but since I am at it, it is totally disingenuous for any one of these partisan Mother F***ers to stand before our country and invoke Reagan's words. No one is clean in this mess and the question is who can best deal with the future. An Old Man with Character or an Intelligent man with great words?
My guess is neither, but since Ronnie lost his wits and died a couple of years back we have to choose between these two Boobs. (And I don't mean Palins)
I think we are screwed either way, but it isn't right to let one side go clean after their complicity in this mess.
But Carter really did suck and created his mess.
Antes que nada, I have a big financial bet that Obama is going to win this election. For me, I will profit a lot.
However, as an American, this fuckin Obama is worse than Frankenstein.
Bueno, the polls are all over the board. But at the end of the day, every poll wants to be able to say they were close to the final result.
The final result probably will be close. How many Americans really want to elect a Black Muslim, who has more ties with Kenya and Indonesia than with the United States.
Look for the polls to get real. Obama has always been an election day disaster (which may be mitigated by how many drug addicts, people with no visible means of support, people who have been dead for 10 years, people who vote early and often, incorrigible felons and child molestors Obama can get to the polls)