I think things are not as you seem to think they are
[QUOTE=Dccpa;424189]Why do you think BO is going to lose the election? BO is still leading in the swing states and he has a huge cushion of swing states he can afford lose, whereas MR has to win almost every single swing state. My opinion is that BO is still heavily favored to win the election. I can normally call an election 8months-1year in advance, but I wouldn't touch this election even in the last week of October. There are too many variables in the world that can swing this election one way or the other.[/QUOTE]Last time around, Obama won a narrow victory, although it was never reported that way in the press. Since that time, could you please identify one or more demographic constituencies with which his popularity has increased? I can name a few where his popularity has decreased, such as women, Jews, independents, hispanics, blacks and the list goes on. We are looking at a landslide that should give Dukakis and Carter some company on the list of all-time biggest losers. At the end of the day, millions of Americans are having to face the fact that in 2008, for whatever reason, they cast their votes for someone who hates this country, what it stands for and what made it great. Millions of Americans will not make that mistake twice. The numbers are not working in favor of our Glorious Leader, look for Marshall Law to be imposed in October.
Whistling Past the Graveyard
Team Obama is trying to knockout Romney before the convention and have thrown everything but the kitchen sink at him for the past month. Team Obama is hoping to after going super negative on Romney three months straight they can turn back to Mr Nice Guy just before the election to make Obama look better. For everything Team Obama has tried they have failed miserably to affect the poll numbers which have remained the same while at the same time folks are starting to get tired of all his negative crap.
Obama is his own worst enemy. A few more 'raise taxes', 'the middle class is doing OK', and this latest blunder 'you didn't build that' will further reduce his chances.
I can guarantee you after the Republican Convention Team Romney is going to start shoving Obama's own words, not only the recent screw-ups but his whole 2008 campaign of 'hope & change', 'most transparent administration', 'a uniter not a divider', 'change to discussion in Washington', 'Obamacare' right up his ass.
Obama consistently polls in the mid to upper 40's when polling the general public and drops to the low to mid 40's when you start talking about likely voters.
Historically those folks who are 'undecided' prior to the vote usually go 75% are greater to the challenger, which means Obama is toast. So if Obama can't get it up to 50% of likely voters by the end of October there is no way he is going to win.
You're whistling past the graveyard with that 58% crap.
"Uniter not a divider" was actually Bush in 1998
What concerns me about Romney is that he has expansionary foreign policy but does not talk about ways to fund the expansion.
Also I am concerned that they will take away the tax in Obamacare but leave the benefits like children on parent's policy until 26 and no preconditions on medical insurance. His economics staff worked in the Bush administration and followed the same policy with the war in Iraq and with expanded pharmaceutical benefit under medicare or whatever benefit my Grandmother was receiving.
I do not think a cut in taxes will lead to a great economic expansion. We are not at the right point of the Laffer curve.
Plus I do not know if I can trust someone who has fucked only one woman in his entire life. He is not my kind. LOL.
Truthfully, unemployment at 9% should be enough to beat Obama.
Of course I live in California and I doubt Romney even bothers to campaign here. My vote literally does not count either way and hasn't for several years. Virginians, Ohioans and Floridians are the actual deciders.