More Spin from Team Obama
On a daily basis, we see how Team Obama is taking a page from the Kirchners' playbook on how to manipulate and distort statistics to their advantage. The most recent:
Team Obama was claiming credit for having created 50,000 jobs with wind farm Stimulus money. They recently got called on it with data showing that many of these wind farms were completed either before Obama took office, or before any Stimulus funds were awarded. http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/39759042/ns/business-going_green/
So now, they're changing the nomenclature. Since jobs "created" made them look bad, they changed it to "created or saved. " Since that still loses 50,000 jobs from their wind farm tally, they're now changing it to jobs "created, saved or supported. " Whew! And Esten accuses folks on this board of spin!
But, at least they're consistent: They blame Bush for all the jobs lost, and then take jobs created by Bush and put them in their own column, under the new title "jobs created, saved or supported. "
Good thing we've got these renewable energy projects creating jobs, too. Except it turns out that the majority of the Stimulus money for that is going to foreign owned firms. http://investigativereportingworkshop.org/investigations/wind-energy-funds-going-overseas/story/renewable-energy-money-still-going-abroad/
Again, at least Democrats are consistent. They criticize Republicans and corporations for shipping jobs overseas. The Democrats would never do that. Instead, they become the middle man, tax us and give the money directly to foreign companies. See Cash for Clunkers for the precursor of this brilliant idea, where all the Clunkers were American and 6 out of 10 cars purchased with Clunker money were foreign made. Brilliant. And these guys are supposed to be on our team?
Media Reading AP for Ideas
More evidence today that the media's reading AP to get their ideas on what to cover.
Esten says that ObamaCare is not important to voters. Bingo! AP goes out and does a poll to instantly prove him wrong. (Linked in previous post.)
Now this: I said yesterday that NPR should be looking in the mirror at its staff, like Nina Totenberg, if it claims they aren't entitled to express their opinions. Bingo! Someone at the Weekly Standard is blogging about it today. Snip below:
[quote]On Thursday, however, Schiller revised her position on Williams's termination. According to the Associated Press, Schiller told the Atlanta Press Club that it wasn't the O'Reilly interview that led to his dismissal but the fact that he expressed his 'controversial' opinions at all. Doing so, she said, is prohibited by longstanding NPR standards. The AP reports:
[i]Schiller said Williams' firing is not a reflection of his comments (on Fox News Channel) that he gets nervous when he sees people in Muslim garb on an airplane. She said she has no problem with people taking controversial positions, but that such opinions should not come from NPR reporters or news analysts. [/i][/quote]If that's true, NPR legal affairs correspondent Nina Totenberg might want to start looking for a new job. Over the past month, in her regular appearances on 'Inside Washington, ' she has: criticized a ruling of the Roberts Court as scandalous; claimed that Michelle Obama gives people 'warm and fuzzy' feelings; called Bill Clinton 'the most gifted politician I've ever seen; ' and lamented that the Democratic Party is diverse enough to include moderates that want to extend all Bush tax cuts. "
[url]http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/nina-totenberg-next_511512.html[/url]
Obviously, the "media" and the pollsters are getting their ideas directly from this thread.
This disclaimer is for Esten: That last sentence is written in jest, a form of humor. Note the winkie thing in the subject line. But you can go ahead and characterize it as "spin" if you want to.
Current Projections re Senate
Doppleganger:
Here's a map showing likely outcome. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/2010_elections_senate_map_no_toss_ups.html
The House is a given at this point. The Senate's always been a long shot. The map shows 51-49 Dems. You need to pick off two of the races currently slated for Dems right now, and not lose any of those showing Republican.
The most likely candidates for GOP pick-up are CA, WA and WV. Frankly, I'd be surprised if Fiorina wins California given the politics in this state and the trend for the governor's race. WV is a real wild card as there is virtually no reliable polling data. It's Sen. Byrd's former seat. For decades, this seat was never in question. Now, it's anyone's guess.
You also would need to not lose NV and IL, both of which are really close right now. The map shows them in the GOP column, but NV in particular easily could go either way. There are a couple of others that are pretty tight, as well, such as PA, CO and KY, all of which are in the tentative GOP column. But, most legitimate polls put those states in the GOP camp. Democrat and newspaper polls (essentially the same thing) have them closer, but partisan polls generally can be discarded.
We should start to see the last-minute sneak attacks by both sides this week, probably starting Wednesday or Thursday. I was surprised that Gerry Brown played his card so early, but with Gloria Alred involved, it's likely she just couldn't help herself. The fact that Gerry Brown is in the lead in California speaks volumes about that state's inability to solve its problems. Unions are completely entrenched, and they'll drive the state over the cliff soon.
My prediction: 52 (_D_) vs.48 (_R_) in the Senate. That still would be a huge swing. And, at the end of the day, gridlock beats the alternative we've experienced over the past 2 years.
I tend to think that the polls are miscounting
[QUOTE=Stan the Man; 413432]Doppleganger:
Here's a map showing likely outcome. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/2010_elections_senate_map_no_toss_ups.html
The House is a given at this point. The Senate's always been a long shot. The map shows 51-49 Dems. You need to pick off two of the races currently slated for Dems right now, and not lose any of those showing Republican.
The most likely candidates for GOP pick-up are CA, WA and WV. Frankly, I'd be surprised if Fiorina wins California given the politics in this state and the trend for the governor's race. WV is a real wild card as there is virtually no reliable polling data. It's Sen. Byrd's former seat. For decades, this seat was never in question. Now, it's anyone's guess.
You also would need to not lose NV and IL, both of which are really close right now. The map shows them in the GOP column, but NV in particular easily could go either way. There are a couple of others that are pretty tight, as well, such as PA, CO and KY, all of which are in the tentative GOP column. But, most legitimate polls put those states in the GOP camp. Democrat and newspaper polls (essentially the same thing) have them closer, but partisan polls generally can be discarded.
We should start to see the last-minute sneak attacks by both sides this week, probably starting Wednesday or Thursday. I was surprised that Gerry Brown played his card so early, but with Gloria Alred involved, it's likely she just couldn't help herself. The fact that Gerry Brown is in the lead in California speaks volumes about that state's inability to solve its problems. Unions are completely entrenched, and they'll drive the state over the cliff soon.
My prediction: 52 (_D_) vs.48 (_R_) in the Senate. That still would be a huge swing. And, at the end of the day, gridlock beats the alternative we've experienced over the past 2 years. [/QUOTE]I believe that the polls are not counting certain portions of the folks that will be going to the polls. This under counting could be 2-5.
I stand by GOP wins of both house (70-100 seats) and senate (52:48 GOP controlled)
The key of course will be turn out. Hopefully all of those energized would-be-voters will actually get off their asses and vote.
You better hope for 51 dude!
[QUOTE=Esten; 413440]Make sure Mitch McConnell's quote today gets covered far and wide in the media tomorrow, and all week.
And memo to DNC: Get a commercial with this quote on the air ASAP!
I was predicting 51 Democrat Senate seats, but with McConnell's quote today we may see 52. [/QUOTE]If my GOP boys get to 50 I'm in the money at madahos! Fear not Esten, I am actually predicting 51-49 for my team. Boxer looks like she is history after Obomanation was done in California. Happy Mongering All. Toymann
But a Toymann Madahos night never the less!
[QUOTE=Esten;413472]Bzzzzzzzz! With Biden a 50:50 Senate is in effect a Democratic Senate.[/QUOTE]You are starting to stress my brother. Happy Mongering All. Toymann
You need to take an objective look at things every once in a while
That way you won't always be so far off the mark.
[QUOTE=Esten; 413473]Mitch McConnell's comment on Obama was widely covered today, on CNN, Yahoo and others. What does Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell believe the most important thing is? Is it jobs? The economy? The deficit? Healthcare? Immigration?
Nope. In an interview with National Journal, he said:
[b][i]"The single most important thing we want to achieve is for President Obama to be a one-term president. " [/i][/b][/quote]Judging by the overwhelming asskicking that the Dems are likely to take next Tuesday, I'd say a plurality of the country is with him on that.
So, let me get this straight. He is an idiot for making a statement that you find objectionable, however more than 50% of the US voting public agrees with the statement. Me thinks you don't know so much about politics.
[quote=]Every time I hear this guy open his mouth he sounds cranky, bitter and inflexible. Now he comes out with this.[/quote]Sounds like the cacophony of birds singing at daybreak as Spring unveils itself. When hope springs eternal and change is afoot.
[quote=]Unbelievable! This quote will not soon be forgotten.[/quote]I sure as shit hope not. They need to shut down the money printing presses and send Obama back to Chicago or Cuba or wherever he chooses to retire.
If he set up residency in Bs As, he could run here.
[quote=]WH bristles over top Republicans' remarks.
[url]http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/10/26/wh-bristles-over-top-republicans-remarks/?npt=NP1[/url][/quote]
What a shock. The WH bristles when the opposition states that they want to defeat them. Well, here you have it. First time in politics the opposition has clearly stated its opposition to the entrenched powers.
[quote=]Even his home state Kentucky:
Mitch McConnell under fire for saying top priority is making Obama one-term president.
[url]http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20101026/NEWS01/310260081/1008/rss01[/url][/QUOTE]
OK, do you really think that if there is an article taking issue with a statement (could be anyone's statement) that the statement is therefore invalidated? If so, every phony thing Obama has ever uttered has been invalidated because I can come up with at least one article opposing every thing he has said.
Come on Esten, you're arguments are getting weaker by the day.
Elena Kagan stars in Theater of the Absurd
Ok, let's get a couple of things straight. First, I believe that EK was a disastrous nomination to the SC, not only is she wholly without qualification, she is a life long political hack. Second, I am not a proponent of the death penalty as employed by the US criminal justice system (that doesn't make me soft on crime. Thirdly, I do not believe in judicial activism, even if the issue at hand is one to which I could be sympathetic.
However, EK got to opine on her first ever SC case which is on an absolutely flatulent (full of stinky air) issue. The question was whether or not one of the drugs used for lethal injection was safe. This was completely made up argument. The now deceased dirtbag's attorneys saw an opportunity to create a false argument because the US manufacturer stopped making it so the state of AZ had to buy it from a UK company.
"A judge had put the execution on hold because she said she was "left to speculate" whether this drug was safe for its intended use. "
WTF? Safe for its intended use? Hello? They are using it to kill him. So what if it has side effects? So long as one of the side effects isn't reincarnation or resuscitation, how the f-k could it matter?
Suggest you define control.
[QUOTE=Esten; 413525]One small detail, you need both sides to agree for there to be a valid bet.
My bet is strictly about who holds power in each chamber. If you don't agree then bets are off. I already let you get away with a watered down bet, now you want me to go along with giving you a win even if the Senate is considered to remain controlled by Dems? LOL You are getting desperate for your prize! Make the honorable bet Toymann, you know its all about who holds the power.
P. S. My original statement was "I pay if Republicans win both chambers. " That's what you agreed to. A win means in control. [/QUOTE]I am a little confused. More GOP than Dems would mean control. YES? I also asked long ago that a 50-50 tie went to me as your team WAS IN CONTROL.59-41. Please clarify for all to see.
Happy Mongering All,
Toymann