Argentine Farm Dispute Worsens; Tax Talks End 'Badly' (Update3)
[url]http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601086&sid=aUdZ0KdV7HGQ&refer=latin_america[/url]
Argentina's Government Cancels Meeting With Farmers (Update3)
[url]http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601012&sid=a_fcE2S.MK2g&refer=commodities[/url]
Argentina set to lose IMF loan
Argentina set to lose IMF loan.
DEBT-WRACKED Argentina is unlikely to receive a financial bail-out from the International Monetary Fund, sources said, leaving the country facing a possible return to hyperinflation and economic chaos.
A delegation from the IMF has just arrived in Argentina to decide whether to grant the country fresh aid, but fund sources said the £7 billion remaining under an existing but frozen £15bn loan package would not be released.
Instead, Argentina would only receive enough financing to pay back what it already owes the Washington-based lender this year - about £3.5bn.
"What they have to do, they can do it alone," one source at the IMF said, "This is a case where what they need is adjustment, it is not financing. This is for their own good and they should understand that."
Before the IMF team arrived, hopes had been high in Argentina that the talks would lead to the resumption of international aid after the IMF froze funds in December after the country failed to keep spending in check.
But the IMF sources said the talks were more concerned with ways to build a foundation for a credible economic platform.
The toll of the economic crisis on Argentina has been heavy. Since December, the government has fallen after riots left 27 dead and the economy has ground to a standstill.
Found this story, Last Updated: 05 April 2002 12:00 AM
[QUOTE=Posthaste]Argentina set to lose IMF loan.
DEBT-WRACKED Argentina is unlikely to receive a financial bail-out from the International Monetary Fund, sources said, leaving the country facing a possible return to hyperinflation and economic chaos.
A delegation from the IMF has just arrived in Argentina to decide whether to grant the country fresh aid, but fund sources said the £7 billion remaining under an existing but frozen £15bn loan package would not be released.
Instead, Argentina would only receive enough financing to pay back what it already owes the Washington-based lender this year - about £3.5bn.
"What they have to do, they can do it alone," one source at the IMF said, "This is a case where what they need is adjustment, it is not financing. This is for their own good and they should understand that."
Before the IMF team arrived, hopes had been high in Argentina that the talks would lead to the resumption of international aid after the IMF froze funds in December after the country failed to keep spending in check.
But the IMF sources said the talks were more concerned with ways to build a foundation for a credible economic platform.
The toll of the economic crisis on Argentina has been heavy. Since December, the government has fallen after riots left 27 dead and the economy has ground to a standstill.[/QUOTE]Found the article, it was on google news, as a new story. But if you go to the bottom of the page, it says Last Updated: 05 April 2002 12:00 AM. Think google fuck up. If this stuff where for real, there should be hundeds of articles on it, but this is the only one.
[url]http://edinburghnews.scotsman.com/business/Argentina-set-to-lose-IMF.2315839.jp[/url]
Centrol bank has to support peso again, because of stalled farm talks.
Tue, May 27 2008, 21:03 GMT.
[url]http://www.djnewswires.com/eu[/url]
Argentina Central Bank Firms Bonds, Peso; Stocks Down On Oil
By Drew Benson
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
BUENOS AIRES (Dow Jones)--The Argentine Central Bank apparently intervened in local markets Tuesday to buy bonds and sell dollars in a bid to firm up the peso and debt prices as it was unclear what the next step would be regarding stalled farm talks, traders said.
A central bank spokesman said he wouldn't have information about the day's apparent intervention until later Tuesday.
[url]http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?StoryId=7ce59972-88b6-4b7c-9a73-77174702e247[/url]
Argentina Central Bank Again Firms Bonds, Peso
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES.
BUENOS AIRES (Dow Jones)--The Argentine central bank apparently intervened once again in local markets Wednesday to buy bonds and sell dollars in a bid to firm up debt prices and the peso, which reached its strongest point against the dollar since July of last year, traders said.
The monetary authority flexed its muscles as markets were relatively calm, a day after farm leaders launched their third strike since March to protest a soy export tax hike.
The central bank, by selling an estimated $70 million in the local spot foreign exchange market, helped firm the peso a full centavo on the day to ARS3.1175. The monetary authority had less influence on the local benchmark Discount bond in pesos, however, with its price ending just 0.46% higher at ARS98.75, with a yield of 10.74%.
"It looks like the central bank was again buying Discounts since the volume was very heavy for a second straight day," said local analyst Javier Salvucci of Silver Cloud Advisors. "But it barely moved, so that means there are also a lot of people selling Discounts," he added.
In the local foreign exchange market, cereal exporters also helped firm the peso as they repatriated overseas dollar earnings, one currency trader said. Steady central bank intervention has helped the peso gain seven centavos against the dollar since the currency hit a five-year low amid farm-crisis worry on April 22.
At this point, "the only explanation for continued (dollar) selling is a show of power" on the part of the central bank, the currency trader said. "There are some operators in the market who think the government is trying to show the farm sector what it can do - that it can take away the weak peso" that has favored cereal exporters since the 2002 devaluation, he said. "Of course, that goes against its model," he added.
On the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange, the benchmark Merval Index edged 0.84% higher to 2,233.41 points. Volumes were low, as most investors stuck to the sidelines awaiting a clear signal as to where the farm crisis is headed, Salvucci said.
Merval heavyweight Tenaris (TS) a maker of steel tubes used in the oil industry, rose 1.75% to ARS98.50 in thin trading, while energy fund Pampa Holding (PAMP. BA) slid 0.51% to ARS1.92.
The farm crisis has undermined confidence in the Fernandez government, sparking a sell-off of Argentine debt and leading many Argentines to cash out peso bank accounts to buy dollars.
-By Drew Benson, Dow Jones Newswires; 5411-4311-3127; [email]andrew. Benson@dowjones. Com[/email]
(END) Dow Jones Newswires.
May 28, 2008 17:09 ET (21:09 GMT)
Some updates, for anyone who is interested
Argentina restricts gas supplies to industry.
[url]http://in.reuters.com/article/oilRpt/idINN2937849320080529[/url]
Argentina Caps Grain-Export Tax to End Farm Dispute (Update1)
``We hope this announcement puts an end to the conflict with farmers,'' said Fernandez in a press conference in Buenos Aires. ``We want farmers to keep producing.''
``The announcement is more of the same we had,'' said Luciano Miguens, president of the Rural Society, the country's biggest farm group. ``It's surprising that they didn't ask us for an opinion.''
[url]http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601086&sid=a.ObYUyt8l_I&refer=latin_america[/url]
This month the central bank has spent $1.4 billion to defend the peso, according to La Nación, a newspaper, and some money has left the banks. behind Ms Fernández stands her notoriously obstinate, and still popular, husband. In Rosario they seemed equally determined.
[url]http://www.economist.com/world/la/displaystory.cfm?story_id=11465492[/url]
The Argentine central bank continued to intervene in local markets Thursday, firming the peso and local bonds as investors largely stuck to the sidelines to await a new direction in the almost three-month-old farm crisis.
[url]http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?StoryId=4c0d07cc-6886-48a8-899b-5abfdb9483eb[/url]
Planting season will force farmers to choose. Plant or strike.
In a report Friday, Barclays Capital said it expects that the Argentina government's offer Thursday night to rework grain export taxes will weaken and splinter farm protests, despite initial farm leader rejection of the new measures.
That's because subsidies for small and medium farmers will make them less likely to protest as time goes on, while the planting season represents a time constraint.
"We find these arguments convincing enough to believe that, after the announcement of the government's proposal, the farmers' conflict will gradually dilute into non-disruptive demonstrations and media rhetoric," Barclays wrote.
The K's are trying to strengthen the peso.
Looks like the K's are trying to strengthen the peso. They tried to keep it around 3.15p for a long time, now they are bring it up by selling dollars. DOW JONES NEWSWIRES says it's because of the farm strike. Could be, but it might also be a way to bring down inflation, by making the peso stronger. La Nación said on 5-29 that the central bank had spent about 1.4 billion dollars making the peso stronger. Since they had been intervening every market day since then, they are probably around 1.6-1.7 billion now. That should leave the central bank about 48.3 billion in ammunition to strengthen the peso. Don't know how fares the central bank wants to take the peso, but if they start spending too many dollars, someone will eventually take the other side of the trade. Most trader are just watching, and don't want to fight the bank yet. Also if the gov. settles with the farmers, anyone shorting the peso, can get burned big time.
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Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES.
BUENOS AIRES (Dow Jones)--The Argentine peso continued to gain ground on the U. S. Dollar Monday as the central bank apparently continued to sell dollars in a bid to firm the local currency amid an entrenched farm conflict.
The peso closed at ARS3.0875 against the dollar in interbank trading, from ARS3.10 at Friday's close. It has been a sharp turnaround from the five-year weak-point of ARS3.1825 the peso hit amid farm-crisis worry on April 22. To push the peso, the central bank has sold more than $1.4 billion in reserves over the past few weeks.
For nearly five years, the government has regularly bought dollars to maintain a weak peso that favors exporters. Currency traders think the central bank's decision to deliberately strengthen the peso of late is a way to show cereal exporters just who's in charge.
[url]http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?StoryId=f6145a7f-bad4-4bed-b305-cb7de6e37009[/url]
May be food shortages again, because Truckers are mad at farmers.
This seems strange to me. The Truckers are blocking the roads, because they are mad about the Farm Strike. Somehow by blocking the roads they will get the farmers to end there strike? Who do you blame for the food shortages? The farmers or the truckers? The farmers are no longer blocking food coming into the cities, since they want the support of the population. So the Trucker will, so they don't get that support? This is funny Argentine Logic, I think.
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•Reuters.
•, Thursday June 5 2008
By Nicolas Misculin.
BUENOS AIRES, June 5 (Reuters) - Roadblocks manned by hundreds of truckers on Thursday in Argentina's heartland threatened to revive food shortages as a deadlock between protesting farmers and the government dragged on.
Farmers are staging their third strike in nearly three months over higher export taxes on the country's top crop, soybeans. They are withholding grains from market through Sunday, and some truckers frustrated with the halt to commerce have blocked highways to press for a solution.
Fewer products are arriving at the Buenos Aires Central Market, where most of the city's fruits and vegetables are sold.
"There's been a small drop, about 70 percent of goods are arriving," a source at the wholesale market said on condition of anonymity.
Farmers blocked highways during their first, wide-scale strike in March, sparking shortages of such staples as beef and dairy products on supermarket shelves. They have since changed tactics to avoid alienating city dwellers.
"The situation has grown complicated for the truckers. The government should pay more attention. This is the result of not having resolved the farm problem," Eduardo Buzzi, president of the Argentine Agrarian Federation, told reporters.
Television images showed hundreds of trucks parked on rural highways, and dairy sector leaders warned that this new twist to the farm conflict could spoil millions of liters of milk.
"This strike on the highways blocks all economic activity and once again threatens to cause shortages and higher prices. This has become a strike against the Argentine people," Interior Minister Florencio Randazzo told local radio.
The minister later said in a televised press conference that the government would not cede ground on the rate of grains export taxes, but was willing to discuss future farm policy once the strike ended.
Farmers first took to the streets after the government announced a new sliding-scale export tax system for grains and oilseeds, which raised levies on soy and sunseed products.
The government defends the tax hike, saying it helps curb inflation while protecting consumers. But farmers call the rates confiscatory and are venting after several years of heavy state intervention in the grains and livestock markets.
The bitter conflict has caused a former economy minister to resign and dragged President Cristina Fernandez's approval ratings down, just six months after she took office.
It has also pressured the local currency, forcing the central bank to sell its foreign reserves to sustain the peso. (Additional reporting by Lucas Bergman; Writing by Hilary Burke; editing by Jim Marshall)
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Don't think the trucker are on the side of the farmers, since when the farmers where blocking roads earlier, they had conflicts with the truckers. At one point the truckers threaded to break throw the farmer lines, and end the blockade, when the farmers announced they where armed, and would defend themselves. There is some legal stuff going on against one of the farm leader because he said that then, think it was DeAnglio, or something like that. Forget his name now. Being accused of inciting valance. The truckers then said, that if they could not pass, they would block all roads, so no one passes.
By blocking the roads, then or now, do the truckers help the Farmers by putting more pressure on the government to settle? Or help the government by getting the public mad? If the public gets mad, who do the blame? Gov? Truckers? Farmers? I am confused.