Thread: USA & World Economics
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04-29-15 02:10 #423
Posts: 1740Fosl 83.80
There has been some occasional discussion of stocks before in this thread, I'm surprised there isn't more. I'll throw out another one for fun.
Some of you were discussing LINE. Just checked the chart and man did it get pummeled. Looks like it is recovering but I'm staying away as I just don't understand the company or industry well. Too much uncertainty in the oil & gas sector, especially with debt and debt covenants etc. LINE reports tomorrow and the analysts are really keeping the estimates low at -0.201 average consensus, which would be the poorest quarter in years. Who knows. Another interesting one is Ecopetrol (EC), which also got crushed but financials look better than LINE (Net Income Avail to Common and Leveraged Free Cash Flow are positive, unlike LINE). One company in this sector I did feel comfortable enough to buy was CLB, got in below 100 which was ridiculous and cashed out nicely, though still too early.
One company I've been following recently is Fossil (FOSL). Was already in and out in the low 80's at a small profit. Now back in again at average ~ 82. It got whacked in February by missing estimates and lowering guidance, but like above the analysts are really lowballing the next quarter. However unlike Oil & Gas, consumer spending data is more visible and holding up well. I own a few hundred and will hold most through earnings on 5/5.
EPS
2012 Q1 0.93
2013 Q1 1.21
2014 Q1 1.22
2015 Q1 0.63 Average estimate seems low given consumer spending data, though could be factoring in FX and restructuring charges.
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04-25-15 05:20 #422
Posts: 1017Is there enoug meat for everyone!
Bill Gates has a message for the world.
http://www.gatesnotes.com/Books/Shou....tsrc=Outbrain
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04-22-15 18:15 #421
Posts: 577Its all Relative
Originally Posted by BobbyDoerr [View Original Post]
Tres3.
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04-22-15 11:31 #420
Posts: 707One Answer for you sung by Iggy Pop - Miss Argentina
Originally Posted by BobbyDoerr [View Original Post]
Just try to stay away.
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04-22-15 11:13 #419
Posts: 2808I don't think so
Originally Posted by BobbyDoerr [View Original Post]
If you live here and can say, fuck off, to a lot of chicks and can wait until you find the ones that aren't infected with GPS, then it's great.
Maybe once Argentina's economy is worse than the US but clearly better than Paraguay and Brazil for a year or so and the blue rate jumps a bit maybe then, but for now it's really not that great for a short vacation. You can get laid cheaper in the states.
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04-22-15 10:34 #418
Posts: 30Traveling to BA in 2016
Originally Posted by RevBS [View Original Post]
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04-21-15 22:35 #417
Posts: 1017Tourism figures
http://www.bangkokpost.com/news/gene...urism-rankings
Thailand, highly dependent on tourism saw it's tourism destination ranking dipped in 2014. It was expected as the country had negative vibes during the political upheavals in Bangkok for much of the year. Europe and the US continued to be the top popular destinations.
So where will you go in 2015? You would think that AP would have stimulating discussion concerning travel but it seems nobody travels, or maybe, they are just shy.
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04-20-15 23:44 #416
Posts: 707I don't want to be a defender of Krugman but
Originally Posted by BadMan [View Original Post]
Is there a similar theorem for public finance?
Krugman does argue that austerity does not work. The Greek lenders want austerity to be the official policy in Greece. The Greeks are fighting against it.
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04-20-15 14:14 #415
Posts: 1657I knew this couldn't be good.
ATHENS (Reuters) - Greece ordered its public sector operations on Monday to transfer idle cash to the central bank in a scramble to meets its needs in the run-up to IMF loan repayments next month.
Greece has been tapping into the cash reserves of pension funds and other public money in temporary transactions.
The latest demand shows how extreme the financial constraints on Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras have become as he tries to convince foreign creditors to extend new financial aid.
Damn you Krugman. I thought you said debt didn't matter?
Originally Posted by BadMan [View Original Post]
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04-18-15 22:41 #414
Posts: 1017Thanks for the correction.
Originally Posted by EasyGo [View Original Post]
The next time I splurge $20 on a meal, I am going to spank myself.
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04-18-15 16:11 #413
Posts: 340Originally Posted by RevBS [View Original Post]
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04-17-15 20:41 #412
Posts: 1657This can't be good
Greece is about to be proper fcuked.
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04-17-15 12:15 #411
Posts: 1017It's so pathetic!
http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/m...in/?tid=pm_pop
Living on food stamps, $29 per day. Well, I do not know the restrictions of food stamps, so my comments are somewhat skewed. But I believe I can live more than well on $29 per person per day. Honestly, you only need 1 solid meal per day. But the general population shop according to their addictions.
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04-09-15 00:08 #410
Posts: 1657No need to reply. This post is for the board.
The RUB is the best performing currency of the year. It's up 19% against the dollar. Forex traders who were long the RUB made quite a few pips betting against the trolls. Might want to reschedule that summer vacation.
Any one who actually understands politics and markets and real analysis want to take a stab at it? Nobody with Putin derangement syndrome will do. See attached pic below.
Anyway. I have much new found respect for Nabiullina. She stabilised the RUB while sanctions were being piled on and didn't resort to selling forex reserves, didn't lower the interest rate. On the contrary she raised them. And she also didn't resort to QE. She bled the speculators dry. Quite brilliant to say the least.
Just an update. More to come.
Originally Posted by Chezz [View Original Post]
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04-08-15 09:47 #409
Posts: 1657Can't believe I missed all the recent fun in this thread. Ill only say this. You can love your country and hate what your government has done to it. These things aren't mutually exclusive. The founding father's didn't become so by towing the government du jour' party line. The U.S. Was founded on dissent ( well kinda but I won't ruin it for you ) and as such it is AMERICAN to be able to criticize your government, its policies and your countries resulting waywardness. If not, what kind of democracy are we talking about? ( Well it's actually a constitutional republic, scratch that " representative " democracy, scratch that, oligarchy, nope, kleptocracy, hmmm. Ill stop there. ) Anyway. Let's not get caught up on facts and details. A country of idiot yes men will always descend into tyranny. Read Plato's Republic. In particular the part about Five Regimes. And get a clue.
Have any " Americans " here actually read the writings of the founding fathers or those who immediately followed them ? Franklin, Washington, Jefferson, Jackson, Lincoln et al?
They would all be rolling in their graves if they saw what their country has become and what their countrymen have allowed.
Jackson. I would suggest you read up on your namesake a bit. He was many things, some quite detestable but stupid he was not. And for good or bad he was a true patriot. In particular I'd read up on the Bank War he waged.
http://thehermitage.com/learn/andrew...cksons-papers/
Ill leave you with this quote :
" You are a den of vipers and thieves. I intend to rout you out, and by the grace of the Eternal God, will rout you out. ".
And knowing is half the battle...